Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Drought is Persisting

Last week the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ), in coordination with the Virginia Drought Monitoring Task Force, has expanded the drought warning. The Drought Monitoring Task Force recommends a new Drought Watch declaration for the following regions:

  • Northern Piedmont
  • The entirety of the Northern Coastal Plain
  • The entirety of the Shenandoah

In addition, the Drought Monitoring Task Force recommends maintaining the Drought Watch status for the following regions:

  • Eastern Shore
  • Northern Virginia

from DEQ

Observed 30-day precipitation shows a central swath of 0.5-1.0 inches falling along the Blue Ridge province and its borders with the Piedmont and Valley and Ridge provinces. Precipitation totals between two-to-four inches were observed in western, eastern, and southeastern portions of the Commonwealth. A small band of six-to-eight inches fell in a narrow band across the Chowan, York James, and eastern Northern Coastal Plain regions. Percent of normal precipitation during the past thirty-day period shows regions west of I-95 generally receiving less than 75% of normal precipitation.

Moisture in the top meter of soil remains largely below the 70th-percentile throughout most of the Commonwealth. Pockets of sub 20th-percentile soil moisture exist in the northern third of the State (us). Groundwater wells in northern and eastern Virginia are still primarily much below normal water levels. The Shenandoah, Northern Virginia, Northern Coastal Plain, and York James regions remain in groundwater emergency status. Wells across the Commonwealth saw limited recharge during March, and most groundwater levels remained steady or experienced some decline. Northern Virginia wells continue to exhibit sub 10th and sub 5th percentile water levels.

Daily streamflow conditions observed on April 2, 2025, showed sub 25th percentile flow west of the Coastal Plain province, and east of the Big Sandy region. Sub 10th percentile daily flow was observed in the Upper James, Middle James, Roanoke, Shenandoah, and Northern Virginia regions. Past seven and 28-day average streamflows show widespread below-normal average streamflows across the Commonwealth. Past seven-day average streamflow conditions showing a decline in flow compared to past 28-day.

from ICPRB

The bottom line is that we are continuing in drought. According to the ICPRB,  the severity of drought continues to grow not only in Virginia but across the Potomac River watershed. The area of Severe Drought (orange) in the watershed grew from 23% two weeks ago to  30% last week, making its way west across the basin.

Rain in the Potomac Watershed over the past 30 days is 1.7 inches below normal. Winter ended at 7.6 inches of rain below normal. Since the beginning of the rain year on October 1st we are between 54-62% of normal rainfall in Haymarket, VA. Virginia generally receives about 44 inches of precipitation per year in Prince William County, and is historically considered “water rich" area. However, droughts are not uncommon, and Virginia has a history of multi-year droughts. The graph below shows the frequency of drought years (yellow to red colors) to wet years (white) from 2000 to the present in Virginia.

from https://www.drought.gov/states/virginia



Sunday, April 6, 2025

WSSC Water Quality Report

 

Every year public water suppliers are required to issue an annual drinking water quality report to their customers before July first of the following year. Last week WSSC Water released their 2024 report. WSSC Water draws the water we treat from two sources: the Patuxent and Potomac rivers. WSSC also operates 2 water filtration and treatment plants – The Patuxent (max 56 million gallons per day and the Potomac (max 285 million gallons a day) plants that together produce an average of 167 million gallons per day of safe drinking water.


WSSC Water is required to report on the water quality from these sources. WSSC Water reports that their water consistently meets all federal (US EPA Safe Drinking Water Act) and state standards. Of the 182 compounds that are required to be tested for, very few were found in the finished drinking water. Those found were in concentrations below the EPA’s maximum contaminant levels under the Safe Drinking Water Act. 

WSSC Water began quarterly monitoring for PFAS in 2020. WSSC Water proactively increased PFAS monitoring from quarterly to monthly and from 18 to 29 compounds using the latest Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) testing methods in 2022. This proactive measure goes above and beyond federal and state requirements. Test results found very low levels of PFAS in the drinking water.







In April 2024, the EPA announced the final regulation for six PFAS in drinking water, setting Maximum Contaminant Levels (MCLs) of four parts per trillion (ppt) for Perfluorooctanoic Acid (PFOA) and 4 ppt for Perfluorooctane Sulfonic Acid (PFOS), 10 ppt for PFHxS, PFNA, and HFPO-DA individually, and a Group Hazard Index for four PFAS compounds. This regulation requires additional monitoring as well as certain actions for systems above the MCLs. WSSC Water sampling results were not above the MCL.

Three emerging issues were noted in the water quality report. The first is the rising salt level in the Potomac River. The water filtration plants cannot remove salt. Sodium is a secondary contaminant in drinking water it is recommended that the level be controlled below 20 mg/L by the EPA. The reported level in the Potomac River is still below that level, but continues to rise.

The ICPRB and the Northern Virginia Regional Commission have developed a voluntary Salt Management Strategy published in 2020 to try and reduce the largest source of salt/ chloride to the Potomac, its tributaries and the Occoquan Watershed, but this alone may not slow the increasing salinization of our source water for drinking as road construction continues at an alarming pace. Even as we try to encourage the adoption of the voluntary salt management strategy, we keep building roads and paving over the counties.

Sodium and chloride the elements that make up salt and break apart in water are washed off road by rain and melting snow and flow into local waterways or seep through soils into groundwater systems with negative impacts on water quality and the environment. Salts pollute drinking water sources and are very costly to remove. The only available technology to remove salt from the source water is reverse osmosis that is expensive and requires a significant amount of energy to run. Elevated salt levels are believed to be a contributing factor to the brown water issues experienced by WSSC customers.

The water was reported to be clear leaving the water treatment plant, thus, the problem was in the distribution system. WSSC believes that the salty snowmelt and elevated sodium and chloride levels loosened the buildup of rust and manganese in their distribution system. The root cause, the failure to flush the distribution system for years, has caught up with them. Despite the appearance, WSSC reports that the water remains safe if unappealing. This is just one symptom of the problems at WSSC.

The second problem was the presence of lead. WSSC Water completed its latest triennial Lead and Copper Rule (LCR) tap sampling in 2023. Ninety percent of the homes we tested had lead levels less than the analytical reporting limit of 2.0 parts per billion (ppb) and well below the EPA’s Action Level of 15 ppb. The EPA’s new Lead and Copper Rule was formally made effective in October 2024. While WSSC Water removed all known lead pipes within their owned distribution system in the early 2000s, and the water leaving the treatment plants is lead-free, this multi-year EPA rule focuses on identifying pipe materials, including those on private property.

Lead in drinking water predominately comes from the pipes. Lead does not come from the Potomac and Patuxent. Instead, lead in drinking water is picked up from the pipes on its journey into a home or in the home itself. In the early years of public water supply the water service lines delivering water from the water main in the street into each home were commonly made of lead. This practice began to fade by the 1950’s but was legal until 1988. Lead was also used to solder copper pipes together before 1988 (when the 1986 ban on lead in paint and solder went into effect). Also, until very recently (2011 Reduction of Lead in Drinking Water Act) almost all drinking water fixtures were made from brass containing up to 8% lead, even if they were sold as "lead-free." So even homes built with PVC piping in the 2000’s may have some lead in most of the faucets.

Lead can cause damage to the brain and kidneys and can interfere with the production of red blood cells that carry oxygen to all parts of your body. The greatest risk of lead exposure is to infants, young children, and pregnant women. Scientists have linked the effects of lead on the brain with lowered IQ in children. I am amongst the many scientists who believe there is no safe level of lead exposure. If your home was built before 1990 the only way to know if you have lead in your drinking water is to test.

Property owners share the responsibility for protecting themselves and their families from lead in their home plumbing. You can take responsibility by identifying and removing lead materials within your home plumbing and taking steps to reduce your family’s risk. Before drinking tap water, flush your pipes for several minutes by running your tap. You can also use a filter certified by an American National Standards Institute accredited certifier to reduce lead in drinking water -refrigerator water filters typically have this certification.  WSSC Water has developed an inventory map where you can see the pipe material which you can find at What's Your Pipe Type? | WSSC Water

WSSC Water treats water using a corrosion inhibitor called orthophosphate to control corrosion, which was designated as the optimal corrosion control treatment by the Maryland Department of the Environment (MDE). To ensure the treatment is operating effectively, WSSC Water monitors water quality parameters set by the MDE every 6 months.

The final emerging issue is Cyanobacteria (blue-green algae). Algae blooms also called harmful algal bloom (HAB) or dead zones form in summers when higher temperatures reduce the oxygen holding capacity of the water, the air is still and especially in years of heavy rains that carry excess nutrient pollution from cities, suburban lawns and farms. The excess nutrient pollution combined with mild weather encourages the explosive growth of algae fed by excessive nutrient pollution. However, toxic algal blooms are relatively new.

In the 21st century toxic or hazardous algal blooms have become a concern in our region. They occur when algae grow out of control when there are favorable environmental conditions. Hazardous algal blooms, the ones that contain the toxins, can lead to the poisoning of fish, shellfish, birds, livestock, domestic pets and other aquatic organisms that can lead to human health impact from eating fish or shellfish exposed to toxins as well as drinking water contaminated by toxins. The existing water treatment plants do not remove the toxins and toxic algal blooms could disrupt the water supply in our region. Thus, WSSC Water monitors the reservoirs for Cyanobacteria (blue-green algae) from July to October.

Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Ten Years Later

A bit under 10 years ago Prince William Board of County Supervisors announced its intent to sell the old Thomasson Dairy Barn, on Hornbaker Road in Innovation Park, in Manassas along with 6 acres of land surrounding the site, for $1 million to Silva Holdings, Co. 

Mr. Silva had initially considered the old Thomasson Dairy Barn as the site for his destination Farm Brewery and after giving up plans for a Clifton location approached the Prince William County Department of Economic Development and negotiated a deal.

 “The preservation and reuse of the Thomasson Barn has long been a desire of the Board and is identified as a strategic priority in our Comprehensive Plan,” said the Chairman, of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors at the time- Corey Stewart. “The planned use as a microbrewery and bistro will provide an amenity for the companies located in and around Innovation Park and will make the area even more attractive for companies that are considering locating to the area.”

Silva Holdings agreed to restore the historical landmark which will be incorporated into a destination brewery, bistro and distribution facility operating under the name 2 Silos Brewing Company. In addition to $8 million in capital investment, the project is expected to create more than 100 new jobs for our community and turn the Thomasson Dairy Barn from County surplus to gem.

2 Silos Barn in 2015 image from Prince William County

This restoration project was hoped to generate tax revenue, while enabling citizens and visitors to appreciate their rich agricultural heritage anew. Prince William County extended the road and brought access to public water and sewer to the site. The Thomasson Dairy Barn was zoned M1 and not part of the Rural Crescent, but rather part of the Innovation Plan. Though 2 Silos Brewing Company still managed to meet the requirement of Virginia SB 430 the law that created an easy to obtain limited brewery license for breweries that operate on a farm. It might have passed as agricultural a decade ago, but not today.

google maps in 2015

The Thomasson Dairy Barn was built in 1929 was once the milking barn of a dairy operated by William Thomasson. The barn was constructed using textile hollow-tile terracotta blocks and is an example of a two-story barn of that era, utilizing the two silos for grain feed storage, the first floor for milking cows and the second floor for hay storage. The protracted decline of the dairy industry in Prince William County led to the eventual ceasing of operations and barn had been vacant for over 50 years. As the Brentville Supervisor at the time, Jeanine Lawson said, “This project embodies the type of development I have been pushing for in Prince William County. It supports our agribusiness community, provides for family gatherings and enhances Innovation Park for our business community.”



google maps 2025 the building labled Black Sheep Restaurant is actually the old barn

Today, Two Silos is part of a multi venue compound. There's a restaurant (Black Sheep), a music venue (Farm Brew Live) where there is a stage where bands perform & a large open area for people to eat , drink & dance), a wedding/ events venue (Brentsville Hall), and a Malarkey Distillery expected to open soon. There are outdoor fire pits and a kids play area.  Surrounding the area is a series of data centers. Not exactly agricultural heritage, but very popular.

There has been lots of construction in the area, but not all you see is recent

Prince William is changing and all this is having both positive and negative effects on residents. In filings with the Virginia State Corporation Commission (SCC) yesterday, Dominion Energy Virginia proposed new base and fuel rates that will allow the company to continue delivering reliable and increasingly clean energy ( as required under the VECA law ) to its customers.

The company requested base rate increases of $8.51 per month in 2026 and $2.00 per month in 2027 for a typical residential customer. If approved, this would be the company’s first increase in base rates since 1992. The typical residential customer in Virginia (whoever that is) currently pays about $140. In July  a previously approved fuel rate increase goes into effect and will bring the typical customer bill to $150.92. This increase will further increase the typical customer bill to $159.43 on January 1, 2026- this is almost a 14% increase. The increase of $2.00 in 2027 will bring the increase to over 15%.

According to Dominion Energy "the request reflects significant inflationary pressures since 2023, when the company filed its last biennial case, including increases in the cost of labor, as well as materials and equipment such as cables and wires, utility poles, transformers and power generation equipment. The increase also reflects needed investments to reliably serve a growing customer base."

In addition to new rates, the company also proposed a new rate class for high energy users, including data centers, as well as new consumer protections to ensure these customers continue to pay the full cost of their service and other customers are protected from stranded costs if the data centers fail to turn on or close down after building the transmission lines, substations and power generation to supply them. Under the proposal, high energy users would be required to make a 14-year commitment to pay for their requested power – even if they use less. This is the approach that Ohio is taking to protect their resident customer base.