Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Using Seismic Monitoring to Measure Groundwater

Shujuan Mao et al., Depth-dependent seismic sensing of groundwater recovery from the atmospheric-river storms of 2023.Science387,758-763(2025).DOI:10.1126/science.adr6139

 Taka’aki Taira, Roland Bürgmann, Where does all the water go?.Science387,714-715(2025).DOI:10.1126/science.adv4928


The article below is predominately excerpted from the articles cited above.

 Mao et al. in their recent research study showed that something called seismic ambient field interferometry, which is simply the measurement of seismic vibrations , can be used to measure groundwater. Utilizing the existing seismic monitors and decades of data in the Los Angeles groundwater basin to measure the recharge of the groundwater from the 2023 atmospheric river that hit the region. They found that only about 25% of the groundwater lost since 2006 was replenished by a very wet 2023. These observations highlight the need for more continuous monitoring and provide a new way to estimate groundwater resources.

The Los Angeles area is densely populated and has long faced challenges of water supply in what is naturally a semi-arid region prone to droughts. Most of the drinking water for the region is piped in from other parts of California.

The region is also subject to earthquakes-seismic activity. In response to the risk of earthquake, the regions has a network of instruments designed and developed to study seismic hazards, and continuously records the ambient seismic field, which is the ever-present ground vibrations resulting from natural and manmade sources (trucks, construction etc.). Analysis of these passive seismic records enables the calculation of spatiotemporal changes in seismic velocity (20).

Seismic velocity changes as water saturation (moisture) of the medium changes. Thus seismic velocity changes can serve as a measure of the total water content in the subsurface. Passive sensing of seismic velocity changes (Δv/v) has recently emerged as a noninvasive, cost-effective approach for the continuous monitoring of aquifers.

Mao et al used the seismic data recorded by 68 stations in the Los Angels area to calculate the seismic velocity changes, Δv/v over the past two decades (32). And then using all the other data available for the region demonstrated that analysis of seismic noise can capture changes in the state of groundwater storage with better depth resolution than the traditional method of soil moisture content and simplified water balance. They verified the regional seismic hydrograph against the water equivalent thickness (WET) changes derived from gravity observations from the GRACE and GRACE-FO missions. NASA’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-on (FO) have provided a global picture of water storage trends for over two decades. The GRACE missions are able to monitor monthly water storage changes within river basins and very large aquifers using variations in gravity.

Most drought indices are derived using measurements of above-surface and near-surface water, including precipitation, streamflow, surface reservoir gauge, snow cover and melt, and soil moisture. However, quantifying groundwater drought conditions remains challenging owing to the limited resolution of groundwater monitoring data despite the essential role of groundwater in the total water supply.

Over the two-decadal study period, surface-water availability (indicated by Palmer-DI) varies rapidly in response to precipitation, exhibiting severe to moderate drought during dry years, but quickly returning to wet conditions in storm years. By contrast, the Seismic drought index and GRACE drought index consistently suggest much more severe conditions in groundwater drought that have continued to accumulate over the study period. The researchers found that the storm replenishment over the past 20 years did not compensate for the substantial depletion during dry years. In the years from 2014 to 2022, the surface water recovered and reached “wet” conditions amid storms, but the deep aquifers remained persistently in moderate to extreme drought conditions.

Groundwater aquifers are extremely important sources of/ and storage for fresh water, especially in regions experiencing flash droughts that can rapidly diminish surface-water supplies. Groundwater is essential not only in California, but in much of the nation and even here in Prince William County.  Unsustainable groundwater use can have detrimental effects such as aquifer depletion, loss of storage capacity, chemical and waste contamination, saltwater intrusion, and land subsidence. Of all the things mankind knows we seem to know the least about what’s happening under the ground. This important work may help us change that.

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