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| The Hydrological Forecast is from the ICPRB, the water use data is from PW Water |
A rebuttal to the industry’s polished pitch in Northern
Virginia
If you’ve turned on a television in Northern Virginia
lately, you’ve probably seen the glossy ads from Virginia Connects and other
industry-backed campaigns. The message is soothing and simple: data centers are
quiet neighbors, modest users of local resources, and generous contributors to
schools, roads, and jobs.
That message is also incomplete. The ads ask residents to
imagine “the cloud” as weightless, green, and nearly invisible. But here in
Data Center Alley, the cloud has a physical footprint: transmission lines,
substations, backup diesel generators, water withdrawals, stormwater runoff,
and rising pressure on household utility bills. This is a rebuttal to the sales
pitch and a reminder that Virginians deserve the whole story before being asked
to subsidize the next wave of growth.
Claim 1: “Data centers barely use water.”
One of the industry’s favorite talking points is that many data
centers do not use water for cooling “96% of the time.” That sounds reassuring
until you look at what the number leaves out. It measures duration, not impact.
In other words, it focuses on how many hours a facility may avoid evaporative
cooling, while downplaying what happens during the hottest, driest,
highest-demand hours of the year.
In Virginia’s climate, outside air may handle cooling much
of the year. (It was real cold last winter.) But when temperatures climb in the
summer and demand peaks, evaporative systems can consume large volumes of water
precisely when rivers, reservoirs, and residents are under the greatest stress.
The public deserves to know not just whether a facility uses water, but how
much it uses during peak summer conditions, and that number is over 10% and
growing.
The ads also tend to focus narrowly on onsite cooling. That
leaves out the water consumed indirectly through electricity generation which
is reported to be 90% of a data center’s water footprint. A data center that
draws enormous power from the grid shifts part of its water footprint to power
plants that cool turbines and equipment. Calling that “water free” is not
transparency- it is accounting by omission.
Claim 2: “Water-positive pledges solve the
problem.”
Major tech companies often point to “water positive” goals
as proof that they are part of the solution. But water is not like carbon
dioxide. A gallon saved in another watershed does not refill the Potomac, the
Occoquan, or a local reservoir during a Virginia heatwave. The Interstate
Commission on the Potomac River Basin (ICPRB) projects that by 2040 summer
water use by data centers already in the pipeline with increase demand by 80
million gallons of water a day.
That geographic mismatch matters. If a facility’s local
operations stress a local water supply, then the mitigation must be local,
measurable, enforceable, and timed to the same season of demand. Otherwise,
“water positive” becomes a public-relations phrase rather than a real safeguard
for Virginia communities.
The same problem applies to offset-style projects that sound
impressive in an advertisement but do little to address the specific burden
placed on local residents. Virginians should ask a simple question: does the
promised benefit happen here, when we need it, and at a scale that matches the
impact?
Claim 3: “Dry cooling makes the resource
problem disappear.”
Dry cooling can reduce direct water use, but it does not
make the problem vanish. It often shifts the burden from water to electricity.
Mechanical air-cooled systems rely on large fans and chillers, and those
systems have to work hardest during the same heat waves when families are
running air conditioners and the grid is under maximum strain.
So, when an ad suggests that a facility is environmentally
benign because it uses less water, residents should ask the follow-up question:
how much additional electricity does that choice require, and who pays for the
generation, transmission, and reliability upgrades needed to support it?
Claim 4: “Efficiency gains will offset AI
growth.”
The industry’s older efficiency story was built around
conventional cloud computing. The AI boom changes the equation. High-density AI
racks can draw far more power than traditional server racks, and they generate
heat that is harder to manage with ordinary air cooling.
That means yesterday’s efficiency talking points cannot be
used to wave away tomorrow’s load growth. If AI facilities require dramatically
more power per square foot, the public should see updated, project-specific
projections—not broad assurances built on the technology mix of the past.
Claim 5: “Backup generators are only for
emergencies.”
Data centers are often promoted as clean, high-tech
infrastructure, but many rely on large fleets of diesel backup generators. The
industry describes these generators as rarely used, but their role has becomes
more complicated. When the grid is strained and large customers are asked to
reduce load or island themselves from the system. The grid is using them as
additional power in their reserve calculations.
That raises a basic public-health question: if diesel
engines are part of the reliability plan for a region packed with data centers,
how are emissions monitored, limited, and disclosed to nearby communities?
Residents should not have to accept unexamined pollution risks as the hidden
cost of keeping the cloud online.
Demand-response payments and emergency operations also
deserve scrutiny. If large facilities are compensated for reducing demand
during crises caused in part by rapid load growth they brought, then regulators
should ensure that ratepayers are not paying twice: once for the infrastructure
buildout and again for temporary relief when that infrastructure proves
insufficient.
Claim 6: “Data centers pay their own way.”
The ads emphasize tax revenue, but the cost side of the
ledger is just as important. New substations, transmission lines, generation
capacity, water infrastructure, road improvements, and emergency services are
not free. When growth is fast enough, the question is not whether data centers
pay something. The question is whether they pay the full marginal cost
of the new infrastructure they require.
·
The ad version: Data centers generate tax
revenue and support public services.
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The missing context: Rapid load growth
can require expensive new infrastructure, and those costs can place risk on
households and small businesses unless regulators create strong protections.
That is why the debate over high-load rate classes and cost
allocation matters. These policies are not anti-technology; they are basic
consumer protection. If a facility needs enormous new grid capacity, ordinary
residents should not be left carrying the financial risk if demand forecasts
change or speculative projects fail to materialize.
Don’t Let Advertising
Substitute for Accountability
The data center industry is not wrong that digital
infrastructure matters. It does. But importance is not a blank check. Northern
Virginia can support technology without accepting secrecy, weak siting rules,
vague offsets, hidden water impacts, or utility bills that rise to finance
private growth.
So, the next time a polished TV ad tells you that data
centers are quiet, clean, and cost-free neighbors, remember what the ad leaves
out. Ask for local water data. Ask who pays for the next transmission line. Ask
how diesel emissions are monitored. Ask whether “water positive” means anything
in our watershed. Ask whether the companies profiting from AI expansion are
paying the full cost of the infrastructure they require. Virginia does not need
more slogans. It needs transparency, enforceable standards, and a growth policy
that protects residents first.

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